June 22, 2024

Research shows disadvantaged people wait significantly longer for power restoration after major storms
Storm paths and affected counties for the eight hurricanes. Green line: hurricane path. Shaded green: range of sustained wind speed greater than 34 knots (tropical storm wind level). Blue: high overall social vulnerability (compared with average level of 0.726) counties. Red: low overall social vulnerability (compared with average level) counties. Credit: Georgia Institute of Technology

Hurricanes and other extreme weather events often affect disadvantaged communities more severely, and extended power outages are some of the most harmful effects. Concerns over the intensification of hurricanes has led to new environmental justice policies that aim to mitigate the unequal impacts of major storms. Now, policy experts and engineers are directing their attention toward illuminating the causes.

Researchers at the Georgia Institute of Technology sought to investigate whether socioeconomically vulnerable households experienced longer power durations after extreme weather events. The team analyzed data from the top eight major Atlantic hurricanes between 2017 and 2020 that knocked out power for over 15 million customers in nine states across the southeastern U.S. The team found that people in lower socioeconomic tiers wait significantly longer to have power restored after a major storm—nearly three hours longer on average.

The interdisciplinary research team consists of Chuanyi Ji, an associate professor in the School of Electrical and Computer Engineering; Scott Ganz, a policy researcher at Georgetown University and a former Georgia Tech faculty member; and Chenghao Duan, a Ph.D. student in Ji’s lab.

Their , titled “Socioeconomic Vulnerability and Differential Impact of Severe Weather-Induced Power Outages,” was published in the journal PNAS Nexus.

“Not only do impact disadvantaged communities more harshly, but power disruption can be dangerous and even life-threatening in certain contexts,” Ji said. “Those with fewer resources are limited in their ability to evacuate from severe weather situations, and for individuals with electric medical equipment, an extended power outage can be disastrous.”

Ji, who specializes in large-scale data analytics for power grid resilience, has done previous work on power restoration procedures involving infrastructure and utility services, but wanted to expand the work into the realm of communities. The team hypothesized that disadvantaged communities likely wait longer for power to be restored, but to get a realistic picture of the mechanisms at play, the team needed to analyze troves of data.

They obtained weather data for eight major hurricanes between 2017 and 2020 from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and additional flood databases. They also examined power failure data for 15 million customers for the same time period, which spanned nine states, 588 counties, and 108 utility service regions in the Southeast.

The team used spatial data analytics to model weather impact across regions. They then measured customers’ socioeconomic status by using the social vulnerability index, a tool produced by the Centers for Disease Control that considers indicators related to poverty, housing costs, education, health insurance, and other factors to determine socioeconomic status. Duan and Ji designed the models and estimates, and then analyzed the results to reveal the underlying relationship between customers’ socioeconomic status and their power outage durations.

Research shows disadvantaged people wait significantly longer for power restoration after major storms
Geospatial plot of the total observed duration of power outages summed over the eight storms. b) The difference between the total predicted duration from Model 1 and the total predicted duration holding socioeconomic vulnerability at its average value of 0.718. Credit: Georgia Institute of Technology

Their results show that when comparing affluent communities and given the same kind of impact from weather events, poor communities experienced that average 170 minutes longer. Specifically, they found that a one-decile drop in socioeconomic status is associated with a 6.1% longer outage duration. Their results indicate that there is a statistically significant relationship between socioeconomic vulnerability and the duration of time that elapses before power is restored.

“Our study also tries to rule out some possible explanations for why socioeconomically disadvantaged people take longer to get their power back on,” Ganz said. “For example, our study controls for population density in a county and the peak number of outages in that county, and we still observe that socioeconomically disadvantaged communities experience longer outages.”

He theorized that the “primary cause is that poorer communities are also likely to be more distant from or require more significant repairs to power lines, but these are important questions for future research.”

The results can have important implications for policymakers, pointing to the necessity of reexamining post-storm recovery and resource allocation policies. Service and utility providers approach power recovery by adhering to procedures and regulations that are policy-driven. Current research shows that the standard procedures for restoring following big storms, while procedurally fair, may contribute to unequal outcomes. A greater focus on communities could help to correct the issue.

“Power grid resilience is not just about the infrastructure and utility companies—it’s also about the people they serve,” Ji said. “Success in achieving policy goals depends on our ability to identify the features that contribute most to these unequal impacts, which can in turn help us design appropriate interventions to improve outcomes.”

More information:
Scott C Ganz et al, Socioeconomic vulnerability and differential impact of severe weather-induced power outages, PNAS Nexus (2023). DOI: 10.1093/pnasnexus/pgad295

Research shows disadvantaged people wait significantly longer for power restoration after major storms (2023, December 14)
retrieved 14 December 2023
from https://phys.org/news/2023-12-disadvantaged-people-significantly-longer-power.html

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